US Housing Demand Driving Record-Level Lumber Prices

Posted on February 3, 2021

  • Benchmark lumber prices increased by over 8% over week (as of January 29, 2021) to around US$925/Mbf FOB BC mill (~euro 500/m3 – net).
  • Four of the larger U.S. homebuilders reported a 35% growth in sales on quarterly basis
  • Record-low mortgage rates and the desire to work from home is driving the housing market
  • Scarcity of rural and suburban homes for sale is driving the overall housing supply shortage
  • The total number of homes for sale fell a record 34% year-over-year in the four weeks ending January 17, and new listings were down 10%, the biggest drop in seven months.
  • HMI index gauging current sales conditions dropped two points to 90, 
  • Component measuring sales expectations in the next six months fell two points to 83 
  • Gauge charting traffic of prospective buyers decreased five points to 68.
  • However, all these trends are all above normal when compared to previous year